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The Revenue Framework / Re: Economics and politics – Do the politicians speak to the economists?
« Last post by John Short on October 25, 2025, 09:49:13 GMT »Interesting article in IMF F&D Magazine
Behind the Veil of Tariff Fixation
MICHAEL PETTIS
September 2025
The world needs a broader conception of trade policy that considers how economies allocate income
"In the heated debates over trade policy in Washington and beyond, tariffs are often portrayed as the primary—or even the sole—instrument by which governments intervene in global commerce. They are easy to quantify, easier to politicize, and readily wielded in bilateral negotiations.
But this focus on tariffs is misleading. It obscures the more fundamental mechanisms by which countries shape their trade relationships with the world. Because a country’s internal imbalances between consumption and production must always be consistent with its external imbalances, anything that affects the former must affect the latter, and vice versa. Tariffs are just one of many tools a government can use to change a country’s internal imbalance.
Like most such tools, tariffs work by shifting income from consumers to producers. But because of their visibility, they are often among the most politically contentious of these tools. By contrast, many of the most powerful trade interventions in today’s world occur not as tariffs but as policy choices that don’t appear to be related to trade at all. Fiscal decisions, regulatory structures, labor policies, and institutional norms can all affect how income is distributed, and how economies are balanced between consumption and production, with far-reaching implications for global trade.
To understand why tariffs receive such disproportionate attention, it helps to consider their visibility. A tariff is a line item in a trade negotiation affecting the price of an imported good. It’s easy to identify, easy to weaponize, easy to reverse, and very obviously linked to trade. But the very simplicity that makes a tariff politically salient also makes it a poor proxy for trade policy as a whole."
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2025/09/point-of-view-behind-the-veil-of-tariff-fixation-michael-pettis
Behind the Veil of Tariff Fixation
MICHAEL PETTIS
September 2025
The world needs a broader conception of trade policy that considers how economies allocate income
"In the heated debates over trade policy in Washington and beyond, tariffs are often portrayed as the primary—or even the sole—instrument by which governments intervene in global commerce. They are easy to quantify, easier to politicize, and readily wielded in bilateral negotiations.
But this focus on tariffs is misleading. It obscures the more fundamental mechanisms by which countries shape their trade relationships with the world. Because a country’s internal imbalances between consumption and production must always be consistent with its external imbalances, anything that affects the former must affect the latter, and vice versa. Tariffs are just one of many tools a government can use to change a country’s internal imbalance.
Like most such tools, tariffs work by shifting income from consumers to producers. But because of their visibility, they are often among the most politically contentious of these tools. By contrast, many of the most powerful trade interventions in today’s world occur not as tariffs but as policy choices that don’t appear to be related to trade at all. Fiscal decisions, regulatory structures, labor policies, and institutional norms can all affect how income is distributed, and how economies are balanced between consumption and production, with far-reaching implications for global trade.
To understand why tariffs receive such disproportionate attention, it helps to consider their visibility. A tariff is a line item in a trade negotiation affecting the price of an imported good. It’s easy to identify, easy to weaponize, easy to reverse, and very obviously linked to trade. But the very simplicity that makes a tariff politically salient also makes it a poor proxy for trade policy as a whole."
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2025/09/point-of-view-behind-the-veil-of-tariff-fixation-michael-pettis
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