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41
A comprehensive review of the taxation system in the UK has just been published by Institute of Fiscal Studies.
Tax and public finances: the fundamentals by Isaac Delestre and Helen Miller 

Summary at https://ifs.org.uk/publications/tax-and-public-finances-fundamentals

This report highlights 10 key facts about UK tax and public finance policy that will underpin the choices faced by governments in coming decades.  It supports and expands the argument made in the PFMBoard above. 

To quote the report: “Rather, it is a question of how those taxes are designed. The 10 key facts that we have highlighted (see the ‘Fundamental facts’ box) reflect that almost all taxes have major design flaws and significant scope for improvement. If the opportunity is taken, those improvements could go a long way to reducing the economic pain that a higher overall level of tax would entail. While there are specific choices and challenges for each tax, the problems caused by poor tax design fall into three broad types.

First, various taxes distort the choices of people and firms in ways that are unjustified (in the sense that the distortions are not necessary to achieve government aims, such as redistribution). For example: high marginal tax rates caused by ‘humps’ in income tax reduce work incentives (by more than is necessary to achieve redistribution); preferential tax rates on business incomes discourage employment (relative to self-employment); large-scale carve-outs within VAT create heavy compliance burdens; corporation tax both discourages some profitable investments and subsidises some unprofitable ones; and stamp duty prevents some people from moving house to, for example, take a better job. Such distortions can mean that less work is done, investment is lower and/or resources are not being allocated to their most efficient uses. Ultimately, inefficient tax design is an unnecessary drag on productivity.

Second, many parts of the tax system are unfair. This is not a statement about vertical redistribution, about which there is reasonable disagreement. Parts of the tax system currently treat very similar people in very different ways that are hard to justify. Two people living in houses that are worth the same amount today can face very different council tax bills if their houses happen to have been worth different amounts in 1991 (the year on which council tax valuations in England and Scotland are based). And two people earning the same income by doing the same work can face very different tax bills if one is an employee and the other is self-employed. Taxes are currently also reinforcing inequalities arising from the fact that different generations have experienced very different economic conditions. Notably, large capital gains on main homes – many of them the result of luck – have been central to a growing intergenerational divide in wealth and are completely untaxed.

Third, some parts of the tax system are not well designed to achieve policy aims. Taxes are, of course, not only used to raise revenue or (alongside the benefit system) to redistribute income. Governments have also long used tax with the explicit aim of changing behaviour. In fact, in recent decades, governments have been introducing new ways to do this. Most notably, there are now various parts of the tax system, including a large number of environmental levies, that are aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The tax system should play a key role in helping the UK transition to net zero. However, the combined effect of the various government policies is an uneven set of incentives that will make achieving net zero more costly than it needs to be.

There is nothing inevitable about the tax system we currently have or the problems it creates. It can be challenging to design taxes and, in some cases, there are trade-offs between different goals. But much is known about how to reform taxes in ways that would make the system more effective, efficient and equitable.

The main challenges are likely to be political. Many of the needed reforms would be large. There would be losers, as well as winners. The potential losers are often a more concentrated and better-organised group than those who are losing out from the current system. In addition, there is often a public misunderstanding about why the tax system is the way it is and which features are justified. For example, over 80% of the UK’s workforce are employees. They lose out from a system that gives tax breaks to the self-employed. If taxes were the same for both groups, overall spending could be higher or taxes on employment lower. Despite this, most employees do not think of themselves as losers from this system. In addition, there is widespread belief that lower tax rates on the self-employed are justified by lower government benefits for that group – this is not the case. Philip Hammond, when Chancellor, tried to implement a small increase to National Insurance contributions of the self-employed in Budget 2017; he U-turned after fierce opposition.

Despite the political difficulties of reforming taxes, governments do face a choice; not seeking to address the problems with the design of the tax system is a choice to live with those problems.
Governments should take this choice seriously. The design of the tax system matters hugely. Reforms in the areas we highlight would be worthwhile even if taxes were being cut overall. But the shape of the tax system matters even more when spending demands are placing upward pressure on the overall level of tax.
There are no silver bullets here. But better-designed taxes could bring real benefits, including by supporting higher economic growth and facilitating the move to net zero. Tax could and should be part of the solution to future challenges rather than part of the problem.”

Full report can be downloaded from
Tax and public finances: the fundamentals (ifs.org.uk)
https://ifs.org.uk/sites/default/files/2023-08/IFS-Report-R270-Tax-and-public-finances-the-fundamentals_final.pdf

42
Of course it is not just tax rates - something has to be taxed.

The position that has been reported has been generated by two major investments - in education and in roads.

As Ireland has not any significant non human resources, investment in its people has been important to attract inward investment.  OECD figures show this:

https://gpseducation.oecd.org/CountryProfile?plotter=h5&primaryCountry=IRL&treshold=5&topic=EO

The other area of significant investment has been in motorways which has transformed the country. It is easy now to travel from North to South (through the unique County of Laois) and from East to West in a fraction of time compared to 10 to 15 years ago using good public transport: Dublin to Galway is a good example.

43
"Ireland's economy has recovered strongly from the Covid-19 pandemic so more taxes like VAT are being collected.

But something else is going on. That something is the corporation tax coming from multinational companies.

Last year Ireland raised €22.6bn (£20bn) in corporation tax, 182% more than the €8bn (£7.08bn) it took in just five years ago.

Of that €22.6bn Mr McGrath has designated about €12bn (£10.62bn) as a "windfall" from multinationals, meaning it has been derived from a particular set of circumstances that won't last forever.

Ireland has long featured in the tax planning of multinational companies, often as a conduit for shifting money around.

But in the middle of the last decade some of the world's biggest companies began to reorganise their affairs in a way which meant they would pay a lot more tax in Ireland.

Ironically this was partially a response to the pressure on big companies to clean up their act on tax."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-65343497

See also:

https://www.ntma.ie/uploads/general/NTMA-Investor-Presentation-website-final.pdf
44
The report presents the updated spectrum of PFM diagnostic tools and their use. It is intended to contribute to increased knowledge of all stakeholders (governments, custodians, development partners, practitioners, and academia) on the available PFM diagnostic tools, as well as good practices related to tool development and use.

The current mapping identifies 64 PFM diagnostic tools that were available at the end of 2019. The mapped PFM tools are grouped across four groups based on their characteristics.

Stocktaking of Public Financial Management Tools: Global Trends and Insights (2022) (English)

Stocktaking of Public Financial Management Tools 2022: Volume 1 (English)

Stocktaking of Public Financial Management Tools 2022: Volume 2 (English)

Published in August 2023
https://www.pefa.org/resources/stocktaking-public-financial-management-tools-global-trends-and-insights-2022
45
COVID-19 and PFM / Comprehensive specification of fiscal and other risks: UK
« Last post by John Short on August 09, 2023, 10:13:56 GMT »
Details

"The 2023 National Risk Register is the external version of the National Security Risk Assessment, which is the government’s assessment of the most serious risks facing the UK. It provides the government’s updated assessment of the likelihood and potential impact of a broad range of risks that may directly affect the UK and its interests.

This version of the National Risk Register is more transparent than ever before. It  reflects the principles of the UK Government Resilience Framework to communicate risk information in a more open and accessible way, to ensure shared understanding of and greater preparedness for risks. It’s aimed at risk and resilience practitioners, including businesses and voluntary and community sector organisations."

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-risk-register-2023
46
Findings may read a bit harsh on the UK Gov.

Reading the list of barriers, Uzbekistan may fit the picture, to an extreme. With an exception
In Tashkent its very clear about who is responsible for instigating change: The President!
47
Interesting report on barriers to change at the top of government in UK by Reform  a public services think tank.

Summary

There is remarkable consensus – including among many working within the civil service – on the key flaws in the Whitehall machine. Yet, while successive administrations have attempted to modernise the civil service and improve the structures of Whitehall, the same problems continue to recur. 

At a time when the nation is facing era-defining and systemic changes, the nucleus of government – Whitehall – must be operationally brilliant. Addressing shortcomings is not only key to better government, but to Britain’s future prosperity. Mapping the barriers to reforming Whitehall is the crucial first step to developing a plan which can overcome those deep-rooted flaws.

'Breaking down the barriers' is based on interviews with 27 senior leaders – former ministers, cabinet secretaries, permanent secretaries, other senior civil servants, and government advisers – with direct experience of reform programmes. Their candid reflections, across different decades, departments and governments, form the basis for this paper.

Together, the insights from this paper offer a striking insider view of why Whitehall is so difficult to change, and hint at what future reform programmes must do differently to actually succeed. 

The key barriers identified in the paper are:

A lack of clarity about who is responsible for instigating change 

Ministerial uninterest 

A poorly defined and weak executive centre
 
A bias for policy and ministerial handling skills over corporate and organisational capabilities in promotion

Departmental fiefdoms 

A leadership cadre with limited external experience and a status quo bias
 
Insufficient investment in change management and poor communication of the tangible value for reform 

Limited attempts to build enthusiasts for reform throughout the civil service 

Limited exposure at all levels to alternative organisational models and ways for working 

The absence of a self-reforming, or stewardship, mentality

Full report at https://reform.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Barriers.pdf

The question for PFM Boarders:

Is it the same elsewhere?
48
Report examining the tax reliefs available to individuals and businesses which explores whether these provide benefits to the broader economy.

Contents
— 1 Tax reliefs and simplification of the tax system
— 2 Analysis and Scrutiny of Tax Reliefs
— 3 Abuse of Tax Reliefs
— 4 Removing reliefs from the statute book
— Conclusions and recommendations
— Formal minutes
— Witnesses
— Published written evidence

Summary

"Our tax system is too complicated.

Tax reliefs reduce the amount of tax payable by a person or company if they meet certain conditions. There are over 1,000 tax reliefs in force in the UK tax system. These reliefs reduce tax revenues significantly, but less than half have official published costings. Ongoing scrutiny of their effectiveness is inadequate.

Tax reliefs make the system more complex for taxpayers and open up opportunities for abuse. Governments tend to introduce new reliefs, but rarely remove those which are redundant, making these problems progressively worse. This works against the Government’s stated aim, which we support, of simplifying the tax system.

To promote a simpler, better value and more effective tax system which is less prone to abuse we recommend:

* a comprehensive and systematic review of existing tax reliefs to look for opportunities for simplification,

* HM Revenue and Customs publish full costings of all tax reliefs,

* greater public consultation on new and existing tax reliefs,

* non-structural tax reliefs, those designed to promote certain behaviour, should be classed as public spending and scrutinised as such, and

* the Government should conduct five-year reviews of individual tax reliefs and commit to remove those reliefs that no longer serve their policy goal or are vulnerable to abuse."

This is a House of Commons Committee report, with recommendations to government. The Government has two months to respond.

https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm5803/cmselect/cmtreasy/723/summary.html

It will be interesting to read the response.
49
Message from Abdelhak S. Senhadji Deputy Director Fiscal Affairs Department International Monetary Fund which may be of interested to members not linked into the IMF

The IMF launched an innovative online tool in April to assist policymakers in designing financing strategies for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The tool, SDG-FiT, allows users to evaluate policy choices that can raise long-term economic growth, mobilize government revenue, and attract private investment for development. SDG-FiT is based on the IMF Staff Discussion Note “A Post-Pandemic Assessment of the Sustainable Development Goals,”  which lays out a macroeconomic framework for assessing the post-COVID-19 financing needs in five sectors of the SDGs: electricity, water and sanitation, roads, health, and education. SDG-FiT has transformed this framework into an online tool that can be used to assess SDG financing gaps and evaluate policy options to close them with macroeconomic consistency.

SDG-FiT is flexible and user-friendly thanks to its powerful visual storytelling features, making a complex framework accessible to a general audience. Users can experiment with policy scenarios building on a baseline (current policy) scenario whose underlying data are pre-populated using estimates and projections by the IMF and the United Nations. In particular, the costing of SDGs in each of the five sectors is based on detailed estimates for 107 countries undertaken by IMF staff and the baseline macroeconomic projections are sourced from the World Economic Outlook. SDG-FiT computes financing gaps in the baseline by comparing the SDG costing estimates for reaching the SDGs by 2030 and the current levels of spending on these SDGs. The tool then allows users to specify financing channels to close or reduce the financing gaps in policy scenarios. These channels cover policy changes that alter: (i) revenue, including tax and non-tax revenues; (ii) government borrowing and deficit; (iii) allocation of existing resources to SDGs; and (iv) private financing.

SDG-FiT is online to try it out. Should there be any questions or encounter any difficulties in using it, please contact the IMF's designated team for help (SDG-FiT SDG-FiT-Support@imf.org).  Feed back is welcomed.

SDG web page
https://sdgfit.imf.org/sdginfopages/index.html

50
Interesting report by the King's Fund. 
"The King’s Fund is an independent charity working to improve health and care in England. We help to shape policy and practice through research and analysis; develop individuals, teams and organisations; promote understanding of the health and social care system; and bring people together to learn, share knowledge and debate. Our vision is that the best possible health and care is available to all."

The work for this project was commissioned by the Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry (ABPI). This output was independently developed, researched and written by The King’s Fund. The ABPI has not been involved
in its development, research or creation and all views are the authors’ own.
To read the full report, How does the NHS compare to the health care systems of other countries?, please visit
www.kingsfund.org.uk/NHS-international-comparisons


https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/sites/default/files/2023-06/how_NHS_%20compares_%20summary_2023.pdf
Overview
• Comparing the health care systems of different countries can help politicians and policy‑makers assess how the UK health care system is performing and where it could improve.
• For our research, we reviewed the academic literature on previous attempts to compare health care systems, analysed quantitative data on health system performance, and interviewed experts in comparative health policy.
• We found the UK health care system has fewer key resources than its peers. It performs relatively well on some measures of efficiency but waiting times for common procedures were ‘middle-of-the-pack’ before the Covid-19 pandemic
and have deteriorated sharply since.
• The UK performs well on protecting people from some of the financial costs of ill health, but lags behind its peers on important health care outcomes, including life expectancy and deaths. The latter could have been avoided through timely
and effective health care, and public health and preventive services.
• There is little evidence that one particular ‘type’ of health care system or model of health care funding produces systematically better results than another. Countries predominantly try to achieve better health outcomes by improving their existing
model of health care, rather than by adopting a radically different mode
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